Who's buying

Much of the outside money runs through one pipe.

Money in
United for Portlandthe Chamber's political arm
$676K
Realtors PACPortland Metro Assn. of Realtors
$335K
Jeff Swickarddeveloper, Sept 2026
$150K
Alliance PAC
$100K
Chamber PACUnited for Portland Action Fund~$1.9M raised
Money out
Coalition for Portland's Futuretotal spent, all cycles
$1.2M
"DitchMitch" billboardsagainst Mitch Green, via goPDX
about $75K
"fix multCo" billboardsfor Brim-Edwards, via goPDX
about $75K
Sources and methodAll bars on one scale. PAC totals are cumulative through Apr 27, 2026 and may cover more than one election cycle (BallotBase, republishing state filings). Swickard's gift and the billboard money are September 2026 (WWeek; Portland Mercury).

Who's buying

Much of their outside support runs through one pipe: the United for Portland Action Fund, the Chamber's PAC. Realtors' and developers' money goes in. It comes out as the Coalition for Portland's Future and as billboard committees with neighborhood-sounding names.

A complaint filed Oct 5 says the billboard setup hid where the money came from. That's an allegation; no one has ruled on it.

The donors

Their donors include Republican and conservative money.

We checked every itemized individual donor to ten candidates against up to 20 years of contributors to 18 Republican campaigns and three other Portland conservatives (Gonzalez, Vasquez, Mozyrsky). A gift counts only when its own street address (same street, quadrant and city or ZIP), or ZIP code and employer, matches the donor's. Some matches were confirmed by hand from filing records instead: 12 of the 125 people with Republican gifts, including 11 of Torres's 31.

Where each candidate's donors also give

Republican campaignsGonzalez, Vasquez or MozyrskyOnly the aligned campaigns% = red + orange
Business-backed candidates
Eli Arnold239 individual donors44%
Eric Zimmerman288 individual donors43%
Kellie Torres219 individual donors39%
Julia Brim-Edwards489 individual donors35%
Olivia Clark320 individual donors29%
The wild card
Steve Novick334 individual donors · his new donors jumped19%
Progressive candidates
Mitch Green227 individual donorsNo Republican or Gonzalez/Vasquez/Mozyrsky donors foundNone found0%
Shannon Singleton172 individual donorsNo Republican or Gonzalez/Vasquez/Mozyrsky donors foundNone found0%
Angelita Morillo203 individual donorsNo Republican or Gonzalez/Vasquez/Mozyrsky donors foundNone found0%
Tiffany Koyama Lane269 individual donorsNo Republican or Gonzalez/Vasquez/Mozyrsky donors foundNone found0%
Sources and methodIndividual donors since Jan 2023; each counted once, in the first color that applies (red, then orange, then gold). Gold shows donors shared with the other five; it isn't drawn for the progressive candidates. Republican campaigns 2006–2026: Drazan, Buehler, Dudley (2010, 2026), Alley, Pierce, Richardson, Linthicum, Thatcher, Boquist, Starr, Hicks, Bangs, Scharf, Helfrich; and since 2024, Lathrop, the Oregon Republican Party and Bring Balance to Salem. Other Portland conservatives: Gonzalez, Vasquez, Mozyrsky. Aligned campaigns: the other five business-backed candidates. Unions and PACs are left out because many give to every candidate. Source: ORESTAR exports, Oct 17, 2026.
Which Republican campaigns their donors fund The 125 people from the network above, by where else they gave. A person can appear in more than one row.

It isn't old history. 54 of the 125 have given to a Republican since 2024, and 39 gave to Christine Drazan.

56 of them gave to more than one of the six. Separate campaigns, shared donors.

Same city, same ballot, different donors. Run the same test on the four progressive candidates (Morillo, Koyama Lane, Green, Singleton) and the count is zero.

W♦W♦
Wild card
Photo: City of Portland
The wild card

Steve Novick's votes haven't moved right. His new donors lean that way.

On the council record, Novick hasn't drifted right. But the people who gave to him for the first time in 2025–26 were more than three times as likely to have backed Republicans or Portland conservatives as the people who first gave in his 2023–24 campaign. We can't say why: 2025–26 is also when the Chamber's committees and Go Portland Go endorsed him.

His votes: share of split votes with the conservative bloc
202513 of 16 votes81%
202639 of 63 votes62%

Not a move to the right. 2025 had few split votes, so read the drop with care.

His first-time donors who had given to Republicans or Portland conservatives
First gave 2023–248 of 1058%
First gave 2025–2625 of 10324%

About triple. A jump this big is very unlikely to be random.

Sources and methodVotes: bloc splits on the City Council, 2025 through Oct 15, 2026 (see The votes). Donors: individual donors to Novick since Jan 2023, grouped by their first gift to any Novick campaign since 2011, matched by the same method as above. The 8% to 24% jump is statistically significant (Fisher's exact test, p ≈ 0.001): if nothing had really changed, a gap this large would turn up by chance about once in 1,000 tries. Counting Republican donors alone, it's 3% to 9%, a rise that could be chance. Donors who first backed him before 2023, in his earlier career, were 23%. For comparison, 29% of Clark's donors and 43% of Zimmerman's have given to Republicans or Portland conservatives; among progressive candidates, none have.

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